QB GRADE RECEIPT

Tyler Shough

New Orleans Saints / QB / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING71.5C+

POSITION RANK#28of 32 rated QBs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Developing / replacementQB Index: validated projection plus current form and maturity-shrunk NFL resume

Current form62.0

Player-created value71.5

Next-season projection74.5

Verified athleticism82.0

Proven NFL resume73.0

Model receipt

QB Index combines a walk-forward validated QBR projection, opponent-adjusted current form with FTN charting, and a maturity-shrunk NFL resume from weighted AV and documented honors.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025 seasons.

FTN manual charting is credited to FTN Data via nflverse; ESPN QBR is an independent modest-weight context signal.

QB Index weights the validated next-season QBR projection 45%, opponent-adjusted current form 20%, and proven NFL resume 35%.

Only the projection component is walk-forward validated. Current form and career resume are descriptive; players within 1.5 points share an overlap range instead of a claimed exact rank.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Opponent Adjusted EPA Per Dropback-0.065

31st percentile

Espn QBR48.8

34th percentile

Total EPA Per Play0.008

31st percentile

Opponent Adjusted Success Rate41.2

26th percentile

Passing CPOE1.685

56th percentile

First Down Rate29.3

20th percentile

Interception Worthy Rate2.528

60th percentile

Catchable Pass Rate69.3

47th percentile

61.8 season score403 qualifying plays