QB GRADE RECEIPT

Brock Purdy

San Francisco 49ers / QB / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING84.7A-

POSITION RANK#8of 32 rated QBs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Quality starterQB Index: validated projection plus current form and maturity-shrunk NFL resume

Current form87.0

Player-created value84.7

Next-season projection87.1

Verified athleticism68.0

Proven NFL resume80.0

Model receipt

QB Index combines a walk-forward validated QBR projection, opponent-adjusted current form with FTN charting, and a maturity-shrunk NFL resume from weighted AV and documented honors.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Postseason evidence is scored separately against regular-season peers and sample-shrunk (2025 10%, 2023 12% of each season score).

FTN manual charting is credited to FTN Data via nflverse; ESPN QBR is an independent modest-weight context signal.

QB Index weights the validated next-season QBR projection 45%, opponent-adjusted current form 20%, and proven NFL resume 35%.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Opponent Adjusted EPA Per Dropback0.246

78th percentile

Espn QBR72.8

78th percentile

Total EPA Per Play0.242

81st percentile

Opponent Adjusted Success Rate53.4

80th percentile

Passing CPOE7.372

80th percentile

First Down Rate44.5

88th percentile

Interception Worthy Rate3.691

35th percentile

Catchable Pass Rate76.4

81st percentile

88.1 season score328 qualifying plays75.0 postseason score