QB GRADE RECEIPT

Dak Prescott

Dallas Cowboys / QB / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING86.0A-

POSITION RANK#5of 32 rated QBs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

High-end starterQB Index: validated projection plus current form and maturity-shrunk NFL resume

Current form81.0

Player-created value86.0

Next-season projection85.6

Verified athleticism78.0

Proven NFL resume89.0

Model receipt

QB Index combines a walk-forward validated QBR projection, opponent-adjusted current form with FTN charting, and a maturity-shrunk NFL resume from weighted AV and documented honors.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Postseason evidence is scored separately against regular-season peers and sample-shrunk (2023 10% of each season score).

FTN manual charting is credited to FTN Data via nflverse; ESPN QBR is an independent modest-weight context signal.

QB Index weights the validated next-season QBR projection 45%, opponent-adjusted current form 20%, and proven NFL resume 35%.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Opponent Adjusted EPA Per Dropback0.180

77th percentile

Espn QBR70.2

80th percentile

Total EPA Per Play0.153

75th percentile

Opponent Adjusted Success Rate48.4

68th percentile

Passing CPOE2.198

68th percentile

First Down Rate34.4

72nd percentile

Interception Worthy Rate2.536

60th percentile

Catchable Pass Rate73.1

84th percentile

89.1 season score684 qualifying plays