QB GRADE RECEIPT

Sam Darnold

Seattle Seahawks / QB / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING77.2B

POSITION RANK#22of 32 rated QBs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Established starterQB Index: validated projection plus current form and maturity-shrunk NFL resume

Current form80.0

Player-created value77.2

Next-season projection78.1

Verified athleticism61.0

Proven NFL resume75.0

Model receipt

QB Index combines a walk-forward validated QBR projection, opponent-adjusted current form with FTN charting, and a maturity-shrunk NFL resume from weighted AV and documented honors.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024 seasons.

Postseason evidence is scored separately against regular-season peers and sample-shrunk (2025 11%, 2024 8% of each season score).

FTN manual charting is credited to FTN Data via nflverse; ESPN QBR is an independent modest-weight context signal.

QB Index weights the validated next-season QBR projection 45%, opponent-adjusted current form 20%, and proven NFL resume 35%.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Opponent Adjusted EPA Per Dropback0.149

67th percentile

Espn QBR55.6

37th percentile

Total EPA Per Play0.114

62nd percentile

Opponent Adjusted Success Rate51.5

80th percentile

Passing CPOE4.961

83rd percentile

First Down Rate34.9

77th percentile

Interception Worthy Rate3.586

33rd percentile

Catchable Pass Rate71.4

67th percentile

81.4 season score539 qualifying plays81.2 postseason score