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QB GRADE RECEIPT

Kirk Cousins

Las Vegas Raiders / QB / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING78.7B
POSITION RANK#17of 32 rated QBs
WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Established starterQB Index: validated projection plus current form and maturity-shrunk NFL resume
Current form73.0
Player-created value78.7
Next-season projection76.8
Verified athleticism60.0
Proven NFL resume85.0

Model receipt

QB Index combines a walk-forward validated QBR projection, opponent-adjusted current form with FTN charting, and a maturity-shrunk NFL resume from weighted AV and documented honors.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

FTN manual charting is credited to FTN Data via nflverse; ESPN QBR is an independent modest-weight context signal.

QB Index weights the validated next-season QBR projection 45%, opponent-adjusted current form 20%, and proven NFL resume 35%.

Only the projection component is walk-forward validated. Current form and career resume are descriptive; players within 1.5 points share an overlap range instead of a claimed exact rank.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Opponent Adjusted EPA Per Dropback-0.049
34th percentile
Total EPA Per Play-0.012
31st percentile
Opponent Adjusted Success Rate42.1
30th percentile
Passing CPOE-2.654
28th percentile
First Down Rate30.4
34th percentile
Interception Worthy Rate1.423
70th percentile
Catchable Pass Rate70.3
54th percentile
Total TD Rate3.716
35th percentile
66.9 season score296 qualifying plays