QB GRADE RECEIPT

Geno Smith

New York Jets / QB / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING72.6B-

POSITION RANK#27of 32 rated QBs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Developing / replacementQB Index: validated projection plus current form and maturity-shrunk NFL resume

Current form65.0

Player-created value72.6

Next-season projection73.1

Verified athleticism87.0

Proven NFL resume76.0

Model receipt

QB Index combines a walk-forward validated QBR projection, opponent-adjusted current form with FTN charting, and a maturity-shrunk NFL resume from weighted AV and documented honors.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

FTN manual charting is credited to FTN Data via nflverse; ESPN QBR is an independent modest-weight context signal.

QB Index weights the validated next-season QBR projection 45%, opponent-adjusted current form 20%, and proven NFL resume 35%.

Only the projection component is walk-forward validated. Current form and career resume are descriptive; players within 1.5 points share an overlap range instead of a claimed exact rank.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Opponent Adjusted EPA Per Dropback-0.121

20th percentile

Espn QBR34.1

14th percentile

Total EPA Per Play-0.137

13th percentile

Opponent Adjusted Success Rate43.1

30th percentile

Passing CPOE0.786

44th percentile

First Down Rate29.6

20th percentile

Interception Worthy Rate2.783

49th percentile

Catchable Pass Rate67.1

23rd percentile

52.2 season score544 qualifying plays