QB GRADE RECEIPT

Deshaun Watson

Cleveland Browns / QB / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING65.3C

POSITION RANK#31of 32 rated QBs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Current form63.0

Player-created value65.9

Next-season projection67.9

Verified athleticism84.0

Proven NFL resume82.0

Model receipt

QB Index combines a walk-forward validated QBR projection, opponent-adjusted current form with FTN charting, and a maturity-shrunk NFL resume from weighted AV and documented honors.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2024, 2023 seasons.

FTN manual charting is credited to FTN Data via nflverse; ESPN QBR is an independent modest-weight context signal.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

QB career resume uses sample-shrunk weighted AV per 17 games and documented league honors.

2024 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Opponent Adjusted EPA Per Dropback-0.307

20th percentile

Total EPA Per Play-0.226

16th percentile

Opponent Adjusted Success Rate32.6

20th percentile

Passing CPOE-2.317

25th percentile

First Down Rate20.4

14th percentile

Interception Worthy Rate3.600

42nd percentile

Catchable Pass Rate63.2

28th percentile

Total TD Rate2.143

23rd percentile

59.4 season score280 qualifying plays