QB GRADE RECEIPT

Cam Ward

Tennessee Titans / QB / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING65.3C

POSITION RANK#32of 32 rated QBs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Developing / replacementQB Index: validated projection plus current form and maturity-shrunk NFL resume

Current form49.0

Player-created value65.3

Next-season projection66.3

Proven NFL resume73.0

Model receipt

QB Index combines a walk-forward validated QBR projection, opponent-adjusted current form with FTN charting, and a maturity-shrunk NFL resume from weighted AV and documented honors.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025 seasons.

FTN manual charting is credited to FTN Data via nflverse; ESPN QBR is an independent modest-weight context signal.

QB Index weights the validated next-season QBR projection 45%, opponent-adjusted current form 20%, and proven NFL resume 35%.

Only the projection component is walk-forward validated. Current form and career resume are descriptive; players within 1.5 points share an overlap range instead of a claimed exact rank.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Opponent Adjusted EPA Per Dropback-0.141

16th percentile

Espn QBR33.2

9th percentile

Total EPA Per Play-0.159

5th percentile

Opponent Adjusted Success Rate37.6

7th percentile

Passing CPOE-2.954

16th percentile

First Down Rate26.5

4th percentile

Interception Worthy Rate2.534

62nd percentile

Catchable Pass Rate64

11th percentile

49.2 season score634 qualifying plays