QB GRADE RECEIPT

Bryce Young

Carolina Panthers / QB / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING69.7C+

POSITION RANK#30of 32 rated QBs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Developing / replacementQB Index: validated projection plus current form and maturity-shrunk NFL resume

Current form59.0

Player-created value69.7

Next-season projection71.9

Proven NFL resume73.0

Model receipt

QB Index combines a walk-forward validated QBR projection, opponent-adjusted current form with FTN charting, and a maturity-shrunk NFL resume from weighted AV and documented honors.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Postseason evidence is scored separately against regular-season peers and sample-shrunk (2025 8% of each season score).

FTN manual charting is credited to FTN Data via nflverse; ESPN QBR is an independent modest-weight context signal.

QB Index weights the validated next-season QBR projection 45%, opponent-adjusted current form 20%, and proven NFL resume 35%.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Opponent Adjusted EPA Per Dropback-0.069

25th percentile

Espn QBR47.6

28th percentile

Total EPA Per Play-0.032

24th percentile

Opponent Adjusted Success Rate40.9

20th percentile

Passing CPOE1.179

46th percentile

First Down Rate30.2

28th percentile

Interception Worthy Rate2.174

67th percentile

Catchable Pass Rate70.4

56th percentile

59.3 season score559 qualifying plays75.0 postseason score