QB GRADE RECEIPT

Aaron Rodgers

Pittsburgh Steelers / QB / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING79.9B

POSITION RANK#14of 32 rated QBs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Established starterQB Index: validated projection plus current form and maturity-shrunk NFL resume

Current form69.0

Player-created value79.9

Next-season projection72.3

Proven NFL resume96.0

Model receipt

QB Index combines a walk-forward validated QBR projection, opponent-adjusted current form with FTN charting, and a maturity-shrunk NFL resume from weighted AV and documented honors.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024 seasons.

Postseason evidence is scored separately against regular-season peers and sample-shrunk (2025 7% of each season score).

FTN manual charting is credited to FTN Data via nflverse; ESPN QBR is an independent modest-weight context signal.

QB Index weights the validated next-season QBR projection 45%, opponent-adjusted current form 20%, and proven NFL resume 35%.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Opponent Adjusted EPA Per Dropback0.056

49th percentile

Espn QBR44.4

26th percentile

Total EPA Per Play0.046

38th percentile

Opponent Adjusted Success Rate43.4

33rd percentile

Passing CPOE-0.099

33rd percentile

First Down Rate26.8

8th percentile

Interception Worthy Rate2.087

71st percentile

Catchable Pass Rate70

51st percentile

68.8 season score548 qualifying plays71.9 postseason score