K GRADE RECEIPT

Tyler Bass

Buffalo Bills / K / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING51.5D

POSITION RANK#32of 32 rated Ks

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Below starter baselineconservative one-season specialist projection

Current form58.0

Player-created value51.5

Next-season projection68.0

Production forecast68.0

Position-relative forecast grade51.5

Model receipt

Kicker production uses sample-shrunk accuracy by distance band, extra points, workload, and range.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2024, 2023 seasons.

OVR uses the conservative one-season specialist projection because it outperformed the prior composite in the 2024-2025 walk-forward audit.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

OVR preserves that forecast ordering on the common position-relative grade scale; the separately displayed projection stays regressed for uncertainty and team impact.

2024 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Long Fg Pct Shrunk78

54th percentile

Medium Fg Pct Shrunk70.5

38th percentile

Pat Pct Shrunk92.4

20th percentile

Short Fg Pct Shrunk93.3

39th percentile

Fg Attempts Per Game1.706

25th percentile

Long Fg61

79th percentile

51.5 season score93 qualifying plays