K GRADE RECEIPT

Evan McPherson

Cincinnati Bengals / K / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING65.4C

POSITION RANK#27of 32 rated Ks

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Rotation-level forecastconservative one-season specialist projection

Current form71.0

Player-created value65.4

Next-season projection72.1

Production forecast72.1

Position-relative forecast grade65.4

Model receipt

Kicker production uses sample-shrunk accuracy by distance band, extra points, workload, and range.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

OVR uses the conservative one-season specialist projection because it outperformed the prior composite in the 2024-2025 walk-forward audit.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

OVR preserves that forecast ordering on the common position-relative grade scale; the separately displayed projection stays regressed for uncertainty and team impact.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Long Fg Pct Shrunk64.8

46th percentile

Medium Fg Pct Shrunk91.1

61st percentile

Pat Pct Shrunk93.3

26th percentile

Short Fg Pct Shrunk97.3

52nd percentile

Fg Attempts Per Game1.647

27th percentile

Long Fg63

77th percentile

65.4 season score72 qualifying plays