K GRADE RECEIPT

Jake Bates

Detroit Lions / K / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING72.1B-

POSITION RANK#22of 32 rated Ks

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Rotation-level forecastconservative one-season specialist projection

Current form73.0

Player-created value72.1

Next-season projection74.1

Production forecast74.1

Position-relative forecast grade72.1

Model receipt

Kicker production uses sample-shrunk accuracy by distance band, extra points, workload, and range.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024 seasons.

OVR uses the conservative one-season specialist projection because it outperformed the prior composite in the 2024-2025 walk-forward audit.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

OVR preserves that forecast ordering on the common position-relative grade scale; the separately displayed projection stays regressed for uncertainty and team impact.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Long Fg Pct Shrunk58.5

42nd percentile

Medium Fg Pct Shrunk85.6

50th percentile

Pat Pct Shrunk96.1

45th percentile

Short Fg Pct Shrunk97.8

59th percentile

Fg Attempts Per Game2

54th percentile

Long Fg59

64th percentile

72.1 season score90 qualifying plays