K GRADE RECEIPT

Chad Ryland

Arizona Cardinals / K / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING70.8C+

POSITION RANK#23of 32 rated Ks

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Rotation-level forecastconservative one-season specialist projection

Current form71.0

Player-created value70.8

Next-season projection73.7

Production forecast73.7

Position-relative forecast grade70.8

Model receipt

Kicker production uses sample-shrunk accuracy by distance band, extra points, workload, and range.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

OVR uses the conservative one-season specialist projection because it outperformed the prior composite in the 2024-2025 walk-forward audit.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

OVR preserves that forecast ordering on the common position-relative grade scale; the separately displayed projection stays regressed for uncertainty and team impact.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Long Fg Pct Shrunk63.1

42nd percentile

Medium Fg Pct Shrunk78.8

43rd percentile

Pat Pct Shrunk98.9

73rd percentile

Short Fg Pct Shrunk93

40th percentile

Fg Attempts Per Game1.941

48th percentile

Long Fg57

46th percentile

70.8 season score69 qualifying plays