K GRADE RECEIPT

Chase McLaughlin

Tampa Bay Buccaneers / K / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING85.2A-

POSITION RANK#9of 32 rated Ks

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Solid production forecastconservative one-season specialist projection

Current form86.0

Player-created value85.2

Next-season projection78.1

Production forecast78.1

Position-relative forecast grade85.2

Model receipt

Kicker production uses sample-shrunk accuracy by distance band, extra points, workload, and range.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

OVR uses the conservative one-season specialist projection because it outperformed the prior composite in the 2024-2025 walk-forward audit.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

OVR preserves that forecast ordering on the common position-relative grade scale; the separately displayed projection stays regressed for uncertainty and team impact.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Long Fg Pct Shrunk86.1

63rd percentile

Medium Fg Pct Shrunk77.5

43rd percentile

Pat Pct Shrunk96.4

49th percentile

Short Fg Pct Shrunk93.8

44th percentile

Fg Attempts Per Game2.235

72nd percentile

Long Fg65

86th percentile

85.2 season score71 qualifying plays