K GRADE RECEIPT

Ryan Fitzgerald

Carolina Panthers / K / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING56.2C-

POSITION RANK#31of 32 rated Ks

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Rotation-level forecastconservative one-season specialist projection

Current form56.0

Player-created value56.2

Next-season projection69.4

Production forecast69.4

Position-relative forecast grade56.2

Model receipt

Kicker production uses sample-shrunk accuracy by distance band, extra points, workload, and range.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025 seasons.

OVR uses the conservative one-season specialist projection because it outperformed the prior composite in the 2024-2025 walk-forward audit.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

OVR preserves that forecast ordering on the common position-relative grade scale; the separately displayed projection stays regressed for uncertainty and team impact.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Long Fg Pct Shrunk56.6

44th percentile

Medium Fg Pct Shrunk90

57th percentile

Pat Pct Shrunk90.8

29th percentile

Short Fg Pct Shrunk93.6

43rd percentile

Fg Attempts Per Game1.706

30th percentile

Long Fg57

46th percentile

56.2 season score59 qualifying plays