K GRADE RECEIPT

Nick Folk

Atlanta Falcons / K / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING86.2A-

POSITION RANK#8of 32 rated Ks

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Solid production forecastconservative one-season specialist projection

Current form81.0

Player-created value86.2

Next-season projection78.4

Production forecast78.4

Position-relative forecast grade86.2

Model receipt

Kicker production uses sample-shrunk accuracy by distance band, extra points, workload, and range.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

OVR uses the conservative one-season specialist projection because it outperformed the prior composite in the 2024-2025 walk-forward audit.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

OVR preserves that forecast ordering on the common position-relative grade scale; the separately displayed projection stays regressed for uncertainty and team impact.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Long Fg Pct Shrunk77.3

58th percentile

Medium Fg Pct Shrunk89.3

55th percentile

Pat Pct Shrunk98.4

60th percentile

Short Fg Pct Shrunk97.8

59th percentile

Fg Attempts Per Game1.812

34th percentile

Long Fg58

54th percentile

86.2 season score51 qualifying plays