K GRADE RECEIPT

Jake Elliott

Philadelphia Eagles / K / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING59.4C-

POSITION RANK#29of 32 rated Ks

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Rotation-level forecastconservative one-season specialist projection

Current form68.0

Player-created value59.4

Next-season projection70.3

Production forecast70.3

Position-relative forecast grade59.4

Model receipt

Kicker production uses sample-shrunk accuracy by distance band, extra points, workload, and range.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

OVR uses the conservative one-season specialist projection because it outperformed the prior composite in the 2024-2025 walk-forward audit.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

OVR preserves that forecast ordering on the common position-relative grade scale; the separately displayed projection stays regressed for uncertainty and team impact.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Long Fg Pct Shrunk58.5

42nd percentile

Medium Fg Pct Shrunk74.4

40th percentile

Pat Pct Shrunk97

56th percentile

Short Fg Pct Shrunk97.2

51st percentile

Fg Attempts Per Game1.588

23rd percentile

Long Fg58

54th percentile

59.4 season score69 qualifying plays