K GRADE RECEIPT

Charlie Smyth

New Orleans Saints / K / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING76.6B

POSITION RANK#16of 32 rated Ks

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Solid production forecastconservative one-season specialist projection

Current form77.0

Player-created value76.6

Next-season projection75.5

Production forecast75.5

Position-relative forecast grade76.6

Model receipt

Kicker production uses sample-shrunk accuracy by distance band, extra points, workload, and range.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025 seasons.

OVR uses the conservative one-season specialist projection because it outperformed the prior composite in the 2024-2025 walk-forward audit.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

OVR preserves that forecast ordering on the common position-relative grade scale; the separately displayed projection stays regressed for uncertainty and team impact.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Long Fg Pct Shrunk66.9

48th percentile

Medium Fg Pct Shrunk72.3

44th percentile

Pat Pct Shrunk97.7

56th percentile

Short Fg Pct Shrunk96.3

50th percentile

Fg Attempts Per Game2.667

74th percentile

Long Fg57

47th percentile

76.6 season score29 qualifying plays