K GRADE RECEIPT

Cairo Santos

Chicago Bears / K / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING80.6B+

POSITION RANK#13of 32 rated Ks

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Solid production forecastconservative one-season specialist projection

Current form79.0

Player-created value80.6

Next-season projection76.7

Production forecast76.7

Position-relative forecast grade80.6

Model receipt

Kicker production uses sample-shrunk accuracy by distance band, extra points, workload, and range.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

OVR uses the conservative one-season specialist projection because it outperformed the prior composite in the 2024-2025 walk-forward audit.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

OVR preserves that forecast ordering on the common position-relative grade scale; the separately displayed projection stays regressed for uncertainty and team impact.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Long Fg Pct Shrunk66.9

48th percentile

Medium Fg Pct Shrunk86.3

51st percentile

Pat Pct Shrunk99

79th percentile

Short Fg Pct Shrunk92.6

39th percentile

Fg Attempts Per Game2

54th percentile

Long Fg54

28th percentile

80.6 season score69 qualifying plays