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WR GRADE RECEIPT

Zay Flowers

Baltimore Ravens / WR1 / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING82.1B+
POSITION RANK#9of 128 rated WRs
WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Quality starter forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season
Current form83.0
Player-created value82.3
Next-season projection80.7
Production forecast82.1
Position-relative forecast grade82.1

Model receipt

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Receiving EPA Per Target0.393
73rd percentile
First Down Rate40.7
55th percentile
Targets Per Game6.941
55th percentile
Yac Above Expectation0.196
30th percentile
Drop Pct5.900
36th percentile
Air Yards Share34.7
72nd percentile
Avg Separation3.580
81st percentile
85.0 season score118 qualifying plays