WR GRADE RECEIPT

Nico Collins

Houston Texans / WR1 / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING88.3A

POSITION RANK#4of 128 rated WRs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

High-end production forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season

Current form90.0

Player-created value89.0

Next-season projection85.3

Production forecast88.3

Position-relative forecast grade88.3

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Receiving EPA Per Target0.328

65th percentile

First Down Rate40

52nd percentile

Targets Per Game8

69th percentile

Yac Above Expectation1.688

78th percentile

Drop Pct0.800

76th percentile

Air Yards Share34.1

69th percentile

Avg Separation2.313

27th percentile

90.6 season score120 qualifying plays