WR GRADE RECEIPT

Ja'Marr Chase

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING91.0A+

POSITION RANK#2of 128 rated WRs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Elite production forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season

Current form93.0

Player-created value91.9

Next-season projection87.1

Production forecast91.0

Position-relative forecast grade91.0

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Receiving EPA Per Target0.224

47th percentile

First Down Rate39.5

51st percentile

Targets Per Game11.6

98th percentile

Yac Above Expectation1.308

79th percentile

Drop Pct2.200

71st percentile

Air Yards Share34.1

73rd percentile

Avg Separation3.173

74th percentile

92.0 season score185 qualifying plays