WR GRADE RECEIPT

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING83.7B+

POSITION RANK#7of 128 rated WRs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Quality starter forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season

Current form84.0

Player-created value83.7

Next-season projection82.7

Production forecast83.7

Position-relative forecast grade83.7

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Receiving EPA Per Target0.556

84th percentile

First Down Rate48.5

72nd percentile

Targets Per Game9.588

87th percentile

Yac Above Expectation0.794

66th percentile

Drop Pct3.100

58th percentile

Air Yards Share48.6

94th percentile

Avg Separation3.018

67th percentile

94.2 season score163 qualifying plays