WR GRADE RECEIPT

Amon-Ra St. Brown

Detroit Lions / WR1 / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING90.5A

POSITION RANK#3of 128 rated WRs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Elite production forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season

Current form92.0

Player-created value91.4

Next-season projection86.5

Production forecast90.5

Position-relative forecast grade90.5

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Receiving EPA Per Target0.323

66th percentile

First Down Rate41.3

61st percentile

Targets Per Game10.1

94th percentile

Yac Above Expectation0.344

38th percentile

Drop Pct5.800

34th percentile

Air Yards Share38.4

87th percentile

Avg Separation2.950

62nd percentile

90.0 season score172 qualifying plays