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WR GRADE RECEIPT

Xavier Worthy

Kansas City Chiefs / WR3 / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING62.1C
POSITION RANK#124of 128 rated WRs
WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Below starter baselineevidence-shrunk multi-season
Current form61.0
Player-created value61.7
Next-season projection65.0
Production forecast62.1
Position-relative forecast grade62.1

Model receipt

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Receiving EPA Per Target0.203
43rd percentile
First Down Rate30.1
38th percentile
Targets Per Game5.214
13th percentile
Yac Above Expectation-0.462
25th percentile
Drop Pct1.400
65th percentile
Air Yards Share21.9
28th percentile
Avg Separation3.459
72nd percentile
58.5 season score73 qualifying plays