WR GRADE RECEIPT

Van Jefferson

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING65.2C

POSITION RANK#111of 128 rated WRs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Below starter baselineevidence-shrunk multi-season

Current form64.0

Player-created value65.0

Next-season projection67.8

Production forecast65.2

Position-relative forecast grade65.2

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Receiving EPA Per Target0.172

41st percentile

First Down Rate32.7

43rd percentile

Targets Per Game3.714

16th percentile

Yac Above Expectation0.564

49th percentile

Drop Pct0

65th percentile

Air Yards Share16.1

28th percentile

Avg Separation2.634

43rd percentile

64.3 season score52 qualifying plays