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WR GRADE RECEIPT

Quentin Johnston

Los Angeles Chargers / WR2 / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING69.1C+
POSITION RANK#92of 128 rated WRs
WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Rotation-level forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season
Current form68.0
Player-created value68.7
Next-season projection70.8
Production forecast69.1
Position-relative forecast grade69.1

Model receipt

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Receiving EPA Per Target0.285
57th percentile
First Down Rate32.1
39th percentile
Targets Per Game6.462
40th percentile
Yac Above Expectation0.752
59th percentile
Drop Pct2.400
61st percentile
Air Yards Share23.3
28th percentile
Avg Separation2.365
32nd percentile
70.6 season score84 qualifying plays