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WR GRADE RECEIPT

Mike Evans

San Francisco 49ers / WR1 / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING75.9B-
POSITION RANK#27of 128 rated WRs
WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Solid production forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season
Current form76.0
Player-created value76.2
Next-season projection74.6
Production forecast75.9
Position-relative forecast grade75.9

Model receipt

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Receiving EPA Per Target0.085
34th percentile
First Down Rate37.1
47th percentile
Targets Per Game7.750
65th percentile
Yac Above Expectation-0.618
25th percentile
Drop Pct3.200
53rd percentile
Air Yards Share19.3
26th percentile
Avg Separation1.920
26th percentile
65.0 season score62 qualifying plays