WR GRADE RECEIPT

Matthew Golden

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING73.0B-

POSITION RANK#72of 128 rated WRs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Rotation-level forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season

Current form72.0

Player-created value73.1

Next-season projection73.6

Production forecast73.0

Position-relative forecast grade73.0

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Receiving EPA Per Target0.382

62nd percentile

First Down Rate36.4

47th percentile

Targets Per Game3.143

19th percentile

Drop Pct2.300

57th percentile

72.3 season score44 qualifying plays