WR GRADE RECEIPT

Luther Burden III

Chicago Bears / WR4 / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING76.2B

POSITION RANK#26of 128 rated WRs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Solid production forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season

Current form76.0

Player-created value76.2

Next-season projection75.9

Production forecast76.2

Position-relative forecast grade76.2

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Receiving EPA Per Target0.501

68th percentile

First Down Rate45

57th percentile

Targets Per Game4

13th percentile

Yac Above Expectation0.927

61st percentile

Drop Pct6.700

38th percentile

Air Yards Share9.733

23rd percentile

Avg Separation4.630

74th percentile

76.5 season score60 qualifying plays