WR GRADE RECEIPT

John Metchie III

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING62.3C

POSITION RANK#122of 128 rated WRs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Below starter baselineevidence-shrunk multi-season

Current form60.0

Player-created value62.2

Next-season projection65.1

Production forecast62.3

Position-relative forecast grade62.3

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Receiving EPA Per Target-0.049

32nd percentile

First Down Rate31.3

42nd percentile

Targets Per Game3.692

17th percentile

Yac Above Expectation-0.867

29th percentile

Drop Pct6.800

40th percentile

Air Yards Share7.679

25th percentile

Avg Separation3.834

71st percentile

56.1 season score48 qualifying plays