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WR GRADE RECEIPT

Jaylen Waddle

Denver Broncos / WR2 / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING79.2B
POSITION RANK#15of 128 rated WRs
WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Solid production forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season
Current form80.0
Player-created value79.4
Next-season projection78.3
Production forecast79.2
Position-relative forecast grade79.2

Model receipt

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Receiving EPA Per Target0.345
67th percentile
First Down Rate48
62nd percentile
Targets Per Game6.250
37th percentile
Yac Above Expectation0.146
30th percentile
Drop Pct4
48th percentile
Air Yards Share38.7
82nd percentile
Avg Separation2.734
49th percentile
80.1 season score100 qualifying plays