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WR GRADE RECEIPT

Jalen Nailor

Las Vegas Raiders / WR3 / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING72.1B-
POSITION RANK#75of 128 rated WRs
WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Rotation-level forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season
Current form72.0
Player-created value72.1
Next-season projection72.6
Production forecast72.1
Position-relative forecast grade72.1

Model receipt

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Receiving EPA Per Target0.218
47th percentile
First Down Rate43.4
56th percentile
Targets Per Game3.118
15th percentile
Yac Above Expectation1.375
66th percentile
Drop Pct1.900
61st percentile
Air Yards Share18.1
28th percentile
Avg Separation2.432
38th percentile
69.5 season score53 qualifying plays