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WR GRADE RECEIPT

Garrett Wilson

New York Jets / WR1 / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING68.5C+
POSITION RANK#95of 128 rated WRs
WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Rotation-level forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season
Current form68.0
Player-created value68.3
Next-season projection69.8
Production forecast68.5
Position-relative forecast grade68.5

Model receipt

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Receiving EPA Per Target-0.035
30th percentile
First Down Rate30.5
40th percentile
Targets Per Game8.429
72nd percentile
Yac Above Expectation-0.027
31st percentile
Drop Pct5.100
45th percentile
Air Yards Share17.1
27th percentile
Avg Separation3.058
63rd percentile
65.9 season score59 qualifying plays