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WR GRADE RECEIPT

DK Metcalf

Pittsburgh Steelers / WR1 / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING77.8B
POSITION RANK#17of 128 rated WRs
WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Solid production forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season
Current form78.0
Player-created value77.7
Next-season projection77.8
Production forecast77.8
Position-relative forecast grade77.8

Model receipt

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Receiving EPA Per Target0.333
65th percentile
First Down Rate37.4
46th percentile
Targets Per Game6.600
47th percentile
Yac Above Expectation2.805
83rd percentile
Drop Pct5.100
43rd percentile
Air Yards Share31.6
56th percentile
Avg Separation2.630
39th percentile
82.5 season score99 qualifying plays