WR GRADE RECEIPT

DJ Moore

Buffalo Bills / WR1 / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING69.1C+

POSITION RANK#91of 128 rated WRs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Rotation-level forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season

Current form69.0

Player-created value69.1

Next-season projection69.4

Production forecast69.1

Position-relative forecast grade69.1

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Receiving EPA Per Target0.160

36th percentile

First Down Rate37.6

47th percentile

Targets Per Game5

9th percentile

Yac Above Expectation0.610

51st percentile

Drop Pct3.500

51st percentile

Air Yards Share21.7

25th percentile

Avg Separation3.272

72nd percentile

58.8 season score85 qualifying plays