WR GRADE RECEIPT

DeVonta Smith

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING81.4B+

POSITION RANK#10of 128 rated WRs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Quality starter forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season

Current form82.0

Player-created value81.7

Next-season projection79.8

Production forecast81.4

Position-relative forecast grade81.4

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Receiving EPA Per Target0.481

76th percentile

First Down Rate38.9

48th percentile

Targets Per Game6.647

51st percentile

Yac Above Expectation-0.118

21st percentile

Drop Pct2.700

61st percentile

Air Yards Share32.4

63rd percentile

Avg Separation2.822

54th percentile

81.8 season score113 qualifying plays