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WR GRADE RECEIPT

DeMario Douglas

New England Patriots / WR3 / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING66.4C
POSITION RANK#105of 128 rated WRs
WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Below starter baselineevidence-shrunk multi-season
Current form65.0
Player-created value65.7
Next-season projection69.4
Production forecast66.4
Position-relative forecast grade66.4

Model receipt

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Receiving EPA Per Target0.612
67th percentile
First Down Rate37
48th percentile
Targets Per Game2.875
18th percentile
Yac Above Expectation0.841
58th percentile
Drop Pct4.300
49th percentile
Air Yards Share10.4
28th percentile
Avg Separation3.937
70th percentile
72.3 season score46 qualifying plays