WR GRADE RECEIPT

Deebo Samuel Sr.

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING67.5C+

POSITION RANK#98of 128 rated WRs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Below starter baselineevidence-shrunk multi-season

Current form67.0

Player-created value67.2

Next-season projection69.1

Production forecast67.5

Position-relative forecast grade67.5

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Receiving EPA Per Target0.178

38th percentile

First Down Rate32.3

38th percentile

Targets Per Game6.188

34th percentile

Yac Above Expectation1.089

70th percentile

Drop Pct6.100

36th percentile

Air Yards Share14

16th percentile

Avg Separation3.542

77th percentile

65.0 season score99 qualifying plays