WR GRADE RECEIPT

Courtland Sutton

Denver Broncos / WR1 / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING77.2B

POSITION RANK#19of 128 rated WRs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Solid production forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season

Current form77.0

Player-created value77.2

Next-season projection77.2

Production forecast77.2

Position-relative forecast grade77.2

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Receiving EPA Per Target0.368

72nd percentile

First Down Rate41.9

61st percentile

Targets Per Game7.294

61st percentile

Yac Above Expectation0.115

25th percentile

Drop Pct6.500

32nd percentile

Air Yards Share35.6

76th percentile

Avg Separation2.279

23rd percentile

81.0 season score124 qualifying plays