WR GRADE RECEIPT

Christian Watson

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING72.9B-

POSITION RANK#73of 128 rated WRs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Rotation-level forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season

Current form72.0

Player-created value72.5

Next-season projection74.2

Production forecast72.9

Position-relative forecast grade72.9

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Receiving EPA Per Target0.587

69th percentile

First Down Rate50.9

61st percentile

Targets Per Game5.500

22nd percentile

Yac Above Expectation0.745

56th percentile

Drop Pct1.800

61st percentile

Air Yards Share24.1

36th percentile

Avg Separation2.004

28th percentile

78.7 season score55 qualifying plays