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WR GRADE RECEIPT

Chris Olave

New Orleans Saints / WR1 / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING76.7B
POSITION RANK#24of 128 rated WRs
WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Solid production forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season
Current form77.0
Player-created value76.7
Next-season projection76.6
Production forecast76.7
Position-relative forecast grade76.7

Model receipt

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Receiving EPA Per Target0.228
49th percentile
First Down Rate34
38th percentile
Targets Per Game9.750
90th percentile
Yac Above Expectation-0.521
12th percentile
Drop Pct3.200
56th percentile
Air Yards Share39.3
90th percentile
Avg Separation2.945
60th percentile
78.7 season score156 qualifying plays