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WR GRADE RECEIPT

CeeDee Lamb

Dallas Cowboys / WR1 / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING79.5B
POSITION RANK#14of 128 rated WRs
WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Solid production forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season
Current form80.0
Player-created value79.9
Next-season projection78.0
Production forecast79.5
Position-relative forecast grade79.5

Model receipt

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Receiving EPA Per Target0.248
56th percentile
First Down Rate36.8
44th percentile
Targets Per Game9
81st percentile
Yac Above Expectation0.497
48th percentile
Drop Pct6.800
30th percentile
Air Yards Share28.3
44th percentile
Avg Separation2.779
52nd percentile
77.0 season score117 qualifying plays