WR GRADE RECEIPT

Brian Thomas Jr.

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING71.6C+

POSITION RANK#76of 128 rated WRs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Rotation-level forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season

Current form72.0

Player-created value71.8

Next-season projection71.4

Production forecast71.6

Position-relative forecast grade71.6

WR production uses EPA per target, first-down rate, opportunity, YAC over expected, drops, air-yards share, and separation.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Receiving EPA Per Target0.189

40th percentile

First Down Rate36.3

45th percentile

Targets Per Game6.500

42nd percentile

Yac Above Expectation0.252

36th percentile

Drop Pct11

28th percentile

Air Yards Share26.4

33rd percentile

Avg Separation2.655

41st percentile

59.8 season score91 qualifying plays