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RB GRADE RECEIPT

Jaylen Warren

Pittsburgh Steelers / RB / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING76.9B
POSITION RANK#13of 32 rated RBs
WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Solid production forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season
Current form77.0
Player-created value76.6
Next-season projection77.4
Production forecast76.9
Position-relative forecast grade76.9

Model receipt

RB production uses EPA per touch, first-down rate, workload, RYOE, contact balance, scoring, and lost-fumble rate.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Total EPA Per Touch0.040
70th percentile
First Down Rate25.9
60th percentile
Touches Per Game15.7
47th percentile
Ryoe Per Attempt0.864
75th percentile
Yards After Contact Per Attempt2.355
74th percentile
Total TD Rate3.187
47th percentile
Turnover Rate0
62nd percentile
85.3 season score251 qualifying plays