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RB GRADE RECEIPT

Christian McCaffrey

San Francisco 49ers / RB / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING84.5A-
POSITION RANK#8of 32 rated RBs
WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Quality starter forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season
Current form85.0
Player-created value85.0
Next-season projection82.4
Production forecast84.5
Position-relative forecast grade84.5

Model receipt

RB production uses EPA per touch, first-down rate, workload, RYOE, contact balance, scoring, and lost-fumble rate.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Total EPA Per Touch0.044
78th percentile
First Down Rate28.8
84th percentile
Touches Per Game24.3
96th percentile
Ryoe Per Attempt-0.544
13th percentile
Yards After Contact Per Attempt1.524
11th percentile
Total TD Rate4.116
59th percentile
Turnover Rate0
68th percentile
88.8 season score413 qualifying plays