RB GRADE RECEIPT

Derrick Henry

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING90.5A

POSITION RANK#1of 32 rated RBs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Elite production forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season

Current form92.0

Player-created value91.6

Next-season projection86.3

Production forecast90.5

Position-relative forecast grade90.5

RB production uses EPA per touch, first-down rate, workload, RYOE, contact balance, scoring, and lost-fumble rate.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Total EPA Per Touch0.020

66th percentile

First Down Rate25.8

57th percentile

Touches Per Game18.9

80th percentile

Ryoe Per Attempt1.119

89th percentile

Yards After Contact Per Attempt2.375

81st percentile

Total TD Rate4.969

69th percentile

Turnover Rate0.932

31st percentile

91.6 season score322 qualifying plays