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RB GRADE RECEIPT

Jahmyr Gibbs

Detroit Lions / RB / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING88.4A
POSITION RANK#2of 32 rated RBs
WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

High-end production forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season
Current form90.0
Player-created value89.2
Next-season projection84.9
Production forecast88.4
Position-relative forecast grade88.4

Model receipt

RB production uses EPA per touch, first-down rate, workload, RYOE, contact balance, scoring, and lost-fumble rate.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Total EPA Per Touch0.047
80th percentile
First Down Rate26.3
66th percentile
Touches Per Game18.8
76th percentile
Ryoe Per Attempt0.695
67th percentile
Yards After Contact Per Attempt1.663
23rd percentile
Total TD Rate5.625
77th percentile
Turnover Rate0.312
53rd percentile
90.6 season score320 qualifying plays