56th percentile
RB GRADE RECEIPT
J.K. Dobbins
Denver Broncos / RB / Healthy
Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING78.7B
POSITION RANK#11of 32 rated RBs
WHY THIS RATING
Grade components
Solid production forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season
Current form79.0
Player-created value78.9
Next-season projection77.8
Production forecast78.7
Position-relative forecast grade78.7
Model receipt
RB production uses EPA per touch, first-down rate, workload, RYOE, contact balance, scoring, and lost-fumble rate.
The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024 seasons.
Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.
The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.
2025 PERFORMANCE
Position-specific metrics
35th percentile
55th percentile
78th percentile
78th percentile
41st percentile
59th percentile
80.0 season score164 qualifying plays