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RB GRADE RECEIPT

J.K. Dobbins

Denver Broncos / RB / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING78.7B
POSITION RANK#11of 32 rated RBs
WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Solid production forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season
Current form79.0
Player-created value78.9
Next-season projection77.8
Production forecast78.7
Position-relative forecast grade78.7

Model receipt

RB production uses EPA per touch, first-down rate, workload, RYOE, contact balance, scoring, and lost-fumble rate.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Total EPA Per Touch-0.005
56th percentile
First Down Rate22.6
35th percentile
Touches Per Game16.4
55th percentile
Ryoe Per Attempt1.081
78th percentile
Yards After Contact Per Attempt2.444
78th percentile
Total TD Rate2.439
41st percentile
Turnover Rate0
59th percentile
80.0 season score164 qualifying plays